Presentation201303 NDK en

Results for fiscal year 2012
(ended March 2013)
NIHON DEMPA KOGYO CO., LTD.
【Note】
Statements made in this presentation with respect to our current plans, estimates, strategies and beliefs and other
statements that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements about our future performance. These statements
are based on management’s assumptions and beliefs in light of information currently available to it. We caution that a
number of important risks and uncertainties could cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed in the
forward-looking statements, and therefore you should not place undue reliance on them. You also should not rely on the
belief that it is our obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information,
future events or otherwise. Risks and uncertainties that might affect us include, but are not limited to; fluctuation of
currency exchange rates, overall supply and customer demand in the industry, product development and production
capacities, performance of affiliated companies, and other risks and uncertainties.
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Contents
1.Results for FY2012
2.Forecast for FY2013
2
Summary of FY2012 results
(Million yen)
Net sales
FY2011
FY2012
Annual
Annual
50,804
50,623
Change
▲ 181
Operating income
2,081
112 ▲ 1,969
Income/(loss▲) before tax
1,615
▲ 159 ▲ 1,774
Net income/(loss▲)
1,759
▲ 412 ▲ 2,171
Total comprehensive income
1,863
1,316
▲ 547
<Main factors for incurring loss>
・Demand for smartphones grew less than initially expected
・ASP fell due to intensifying competition in the consumer market
・Product yield rate at a specific product dropped
・Inventory write-down increased
・Deferred tax assets decreased
3
Quarterly results
(1) Net sales reduction at the mobile communications and AV/OA market
(2) Decrease in product yield at a specific product
(3) Increase of inventory write-down, resulted in increase of loss in 4Q
Net sales (Million yen)
Income (Million yen)
13,823
13,075
12,685
12,840
12,652
12,171
12,125
12,056
Operating income
Income before tax
756
575
597
552
407
321
284 280
204
1Q
2Q
3Q
FY2011
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
FY2012
4Q
1Q
354
366
166
2Q
3Q
FY2011
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
▲ 67
▲ 179
FY2012
▲ 455
▲ 512
4
Sales trend of main applications
◆Mobile communications : Demand for smartphones grew less than expected
◆Fixed radio communications : Demand for communications infrastructure,
such as domestic mobile phone base station, is on a gradual recovery trend
◆AV/OA : Demand for flat panel TV or PC, etc, decreased
◆Automotive electronics : Demand decreased in 3Q due to the effect from
boycott against Japanese cars in China, but demand recovered in 4Q
(¥mil.)
5,000
Mobile
(¥mil.)
5,000
Fixed radio
(¥mil.)
5,000
AV/OA
(¥mil.)
5,000
4,000
4,000
4,000
4,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
2,000
2,000
2,000
2,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
1,000
0
0
0
1Q2Q 3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q
FY2011
FY2012
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
FY2011
FY2012
Automotive
0
1Q 2Q3Q4Q 1Q2Q3Q 4Q
FY2011
FY2012
1Q 2Q3Q4Q 1Q2Q3Q 4Q
FY2011
FY2012
5
Business challenges
■ Reinforce earning power with a lower break-even point
● Fixed cost
➢Capital investment:Reduce by 50% compared to the previous year
➢Research and development:Prioritize investments (Small-type new products)
● Variable cost
➢Improve product yield rate: Accelerate design improvement and optimize
manufacturing processes
➢Costs reduction: Optimize blank production site and accelerate localization
of material procurement
■ Promote growth strategy for sustainable growth
● Consumer market (Mobile communications, AV/OA, Automobile)
➢ Replace current products with new products made using new materials
and new manufacturing methods
● Industrial market (Base station/Optical communications, Public system,
Medical)
➢Raise current market share and target new and high-specification
applications by strengthening core crystal technology
6
Business portfolio target
Industrial
Space/ Aviation/
Defense
Medical/ Food/
Base station/ Optical Environment,
Public communications/
etc
System
Broadcast
Commodity
Consumer market
(Mobile communications,
AV/OA, Automobile
Expansion of
business field
Current
business field
Crystal Units
Optical Products
Crystal
Oscillators
(High Accuracy)
Ultrasonic Devises
Synthesizers
Sensors
7
[Consumer market] Miniaturization of crystal units
Crystal units size trend
(QIAJ results and NDK estimate)
Others
About 40%
are small
types of
below 2520
◆Size of crystal oscillators
often used in the consumer
market is changing from
8045/5032 to 3225
◆Demand for smaller size has
been rapidly increasing due to
increase in small and high
performing devices
The size of crystal units
are expected to change
rapidly from 3225/2520
to 2016/1612
(Estimate)
8
[Consumer market] Small size new products
Replace current products with new products made
using new materials and new manufacturing methods
Low-level
accuracy
±100ppm
Mid-level
accuracy
±50ppm
High-level
accuracy
±20ppm
3225
size
2016
size
HDD,SSD
USB
NFC
current
product
current
product
Note PC,
LCD-TV, DSC,
Digital
broadcasting tuner
current
product
Smartphone,
Tablet, WLAN/BT,
Car Audio
current
product
1612
size
New
products
current
product
current
product
current
product
current
product
9
[Base station market] From ”Macro” to “Small”
Trend of installations of
base station by size
Unit:million units
(ABI Research)
◆In the past
Mainly ”Macro cell”
“Small cell” coverage is
increasing
・ Eliminate blind zone
・ Facilitate smooth connection
◆Femto cell (Indoor)
100~200m
◆Pico cell
250~500m
(Indoor)
(Outdoor) 0.5~1.5km
◆Micro cell (Outdoor) 1~3km
※Small:Total of Femto, Pico and Micro
10
[Base station market] TCXO vs OCXO
OCXO (Oven-Controlled
TCXO (Temperature Compensated
Crystal Oscillators)
Reduce frequency volatility by
maintaining the temperature at a
certain level using oven
Crystal Oscillators)
Compensate temperature
characteristic by circuit
<Relation of temperature and frequency volatility of TCXO>
250
3
Crystal unit before
compensation
150
△f/f(ppb)
100
50
0
-50
-100
-150
TCXO after
compensation
-200
-250
-50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Temp.(℃)
2
Highly
stable
1.5
△f/f(ppb)
200
<Relation of temperature and frequency volatility of OCXO>
1
0.5
0
-0.5
1
-1.5
-2
3
-50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0
Advantage:
①Low power consumption (1/10 of OCXO)
②Quick start-up after turning the
switch on
Disadvantage:
Less accuracy than highly stable OCXO
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Temp.(℃)
Advantage:
High stability
Disadvantage:
High power consumption and
slow start-up
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[Base station market]
Needs for high accuracy oscillators
“OCXO” has been used as clock generator for base station,
Macro cell
Small cell
Frequency accuracy
”Higher accuracy” is required
High accuracy equivalent to OCXO
+ ”Low power consumption”
+ “Wide temperature range”,
+ ”Quick start-up”, and
+ ”Small size” are required
0.01ppb
Super high accuracy OCXO
0.1ppb
1ppb
10ppb
High accuracy TCXO
OCXO
100ppb
TCXO
1000ppb
(1ppm)
0.01W
0.1W
1W
Power consumption (W)
10W
100W
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Macro cell
[Base station market] High accuracy oscillators
Macro cell
0.5ppb/1600mW
37×28mm
Micro cell/
Pico cell
Small cell
Developed
in FY2012
Developed
in FY2012
14×9mm
50ppb*/70mW
Femto cell
Developed
in FY2011
7×5mm
Under
development
Super high accuracy
OCXO
at a world-class level
0.05ppb
Under
development
14×9mm
25ppb*/70mW
Developed
in FY2012
5×3mm
100ppb**/30mW 100ppb**/12mW
Only 1 second difference
in 640 years
High accuracy TCXO
at a world-class level
Accuracy equivalent to OCXO
is realized with TCXO
Ultra compact &
high accuracy TCXO
at a world-class level
【 Reference 】For smart phones
2.0×1.6mm 500ppb
*Frequency temperature characteristics in the wide temperature range from -40°C to +85°C
<Reference> Normal temperature range is from -10°C to +70°C
**Hold over frequency stability: including temperature stability, supply voltage change and aging of 24 hours
13
[Sensor Market] Biosensor
FY2004〜
QCM
FY2009〜
FY2012〜
FY2015〜
NAPiCOS series are sold as physical and
chemical appliance
equipment
◎Sold to:
・Universities
・Companies’ R&D
NAPiCOS system
NAPiCOS Auto
QCM twin sensor
Biosensors for industrial use
are under development
(Medical, Foods)
Commerciali
-zation
Promote commercialization of simplified
measuring, sensitive and low-cost
biosensor in collaboration with
pharmaceutical and food companies
14
[Sensor Market] Sensor modules
Developed product in FY2012
Crystal physical sensor
Examples
This sensor detects gravity, acceleration,
inclination, and displacement at micro
level using frequency
++++
+++
<Comparison with silicon MEMS sensor>
・100 times high sensitivity
・1600 times external shock resistance
Measurement of earthquakes,
detection of resources, etc.
Developed product in FY2012
Millimeter wave
gunn-diodes oscillator
Examples
Millimeter wave sensor is resistant to
weather conditions, such as rain or fog and
suitable to capture movements of objects
<Comparison with other sensors>
Types of sensor
Visible image sensor
Infrared image sensor
Infrared laser sensor
Millimeter wave sensor
Resistance to
environment
×
△
△
○
Action capture
△
△
○
○
Trespass detection, respiration
detection for nursing beds in hospitals,
etc.
15
Capital investment & R&D expenses
【 Capital investment 】
¥2.3 billion expected for FY2013(Full use of existing facilities)
【 R&D expenses 】
¥2.4 billion expected for FY2013(Mainly for new products)
R&D expenses (Million yen)
Capital investment & Depreciation
(Million yen)
Capital investment
5,699
Depreciation
4,247
3,067
3,937
3,247
2,760
R&D expenses
R&D expenses ratio against sales
3,040
3,425
3,700
2,241
2,420
4.3%
4.4%
2,686
2,593
5.3%
5.1%
2,400
4.7%
2,300
FY2009
FY2010
FY2011
FY2012
FY2013
FY2009
FY2010
FY2011
FY2012
FY2013
actual
actual
actual
actual
forecast
actual
actual
actual
actual
forecast
16
Summary of cash flow
(Million yen)
FY2012
FY2013
Results
Forecast
▲ 159
1,100
3,425
3,700
400
0
3,666
4,800
▲ 5,699
▲ 2,300
637
0
Ⅱ. Investing activities
▲ 5,062
▲ 2,300
Free cash flow
▲ 1,396
2,500
5,055
▲ 5,011
Cash dividends paid
▲ 391
▲ 392
Others
▲ 864
0
Ⅲ. Financing activities
3,800
▲ 5,403
Net decrease(▲)/increase in cash and cash equivalents
2,404
▲ 2,903
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year
8,796
11,812
611
0
11,812
8,909
Income/(loss▲) before income taxes
Depreciation and amortization
Change in working capital
Ⅰ. Operating activities
Purchase of property, plant and equipment
Others
Net decrease(▲)/increase in long-term debt
Net effect of currency translation
Cash and cash equivalents at end of year
Cash Flow forecast of FY2013
4,800
Operating
CF①
2,500
Free CF
①+②
Investing
CF②
▲ 2,300
Financing
CF
▲ 5,403
17
Forecast for the year FY2013
FY2012
Net sales
Operating income
Income/(loss▲) before tax
Net income/(loss▲)
Ratio of income before tax
Exchange rate
(against the U.S. dollar)
(Million Yen)
FY2013
Actual
50,623
112
▲ 159
▲ 412
▲ 0.3%
Forecast
51,000
1,500
1,100
1,000
2.2%
¥83.23
¥95.00
<Reference>
Influence on net sales (Annual) ¥1 fluctuation⇒ approx.¥210 million
Influence on operating income (Annual) ¥1 fluctuation⇒ approx.¥50 million
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Finally
To
Sustainable
growth track
3
STEP
2
STEP
1
STEP
Shift to growth track
● Business portfolio with earning power
● Solid financial base
Promote growth strategy
● Input new products into target market
● Develop new markets and new customers
Change earning structure
● Reduce break-even point
● Eliminate loss making products
Change earning structure and
accelerate new product
development
Return to profit and
promote growth
strategy
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We are grateful for your
continuous support.
IR information contact
NIHON DEMPA KOGYO CO., LTD.
Treasury and Accounting Division
Mail: [email protected]
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