Q1 2016 Investor Presentation

ni.com
Safe Harbor Warning
During the course of this presentation, we will make projections or other forward-looking statements regarding the
future financial performance of the company or future events, including our strategic goals, operating leverage, revenue
from our largest customer, market growth and trends, growth plans, marketing strategy, non-GAAP operating margin for
Q1 2016, and effect of foreign exchange impact on Q1 2016. We wish to caution you that such statements are just
predictions and that actual events or results may differ materially. We refer you to the documents the company files
regularly with the Securities and Exchange Commission, specifically the company’s most recent Form 10-K and our Form
10-Q filed on October 30, 2015. These documents contain and identify important factors that could cause our actual
results to differ materially from those contained in our projections or forward-looking statements.
Non-GAAP Information
In this presentation, we have included certain non-GAAP financial results with respect to some or all of the following
items: revenue, gross margin, research and development and other operating expenses and operating income. Our nonGAAP results exclude, as applicable, the impact of stock-based compensation, amortization of acquisition-related
intangibles, acquisition accounting for deferred revenue, acquisition-related adjustments, acquisition-related transaction
costs, restructuring charges, foreign exchange loss on acquisitions, and impairment of minority cost basis investments.
In each of our quarterly earnings press releases since March 31, 2006, we have included a reconciliation of our GAAP
results to our non-GAAP results for the applicable periods and such press releases are available on our website at
investor.ni.com. For periods prior to March 31, 2005, our non-GAAP results are the same as our GAAP results. We also
include information in this presentation about our year-over year (YOY) GAAP revenue growth excluding the effect of our
current largest customer and the impact of foreign currency exchange (i.e., “core revenue” growth). We have included a
reconciliation of such YOY core revenue growth to our GAAP YOY revenue growth on our website at ni.com/nati and in
the appendix of this presentation.
.
ni.com
2
Long-Term Track Record of Growth
Revenue (in millions)
Revenue: $1.23 billion in 2015
Global Operations: Approximately
7,400 employees; operations in
almost 50 countries
Broad customer base: More than
35,000 companies served annually
Diversity: No industry >15% of
revenue
$1,400
$1,200
$1,000
$800
$600
$400
$200
'87
'88
'89
'90
'91
'92
'93
'94
'95
'96
'97
'98
'99
'00
'01
'02
'03
'04
'05
'06
'07
'08
'09
'10
'11
'12
'13
'14
'15
$0
ni.com
3
Our Mission – Who We Are
We equip engineers and scientists with the systems
that accelerate productivity, innovation, and discovery.
ni.com
4
Our Customers
Industrial Machinery
Wireless
ni.com
Aerospace and
Defense
Electronics
Academic & Research
Energy
Automotive
Transportation and
Heavy Equipment
5
What We Do
We provide graphical software with modular hardware to build
measurement and control systems.
Low-Cost Modular Measurement
and Control Hardware
ni.com
Productive Software
Development Tools
6
Highly Integrated
Systems Platforms
The Long -Term View
Qualitative
Quantitative
ni.com
100 Year Plan
Core Values
Culture
The NI Way
10 Year Plan
Core Strategic Vision
People
Learning and Development
Platforms
5 Year plan
Products/Markets
Company Goals
Growth Goals
Quality Goals
1 Year Plan
Sales Forecasts
Goal Deployment
Quarterly Plan
Financial Goals
Sales and Profits
Update Goals
7
Evolution of NI’s Core Strategic Vision
First Decade
Second Decade
Third Decade
Fourth Decade
Connecting to
Instruments
Virtual
Instrumentation
Modular
Instruments
Platform-Based
Design
ni.com
8
Empowering Users Through Software
Providing unique differentiation and preserving customer investments
ni.com
9
Leveraging Commercial Technology
Expanding measurement capability
28
26
24
Traditional Instruments
2015
Resolution [Bits]
22
2015 RF
20
18
16
NI Products
14
12
1995
10
2015
2015 RF
8
6
4
1
10
100
1K
10K
100K
1M
10M
100M
Sample Rate [Samples/s]
ni.com
10
1G
10G
100G
NI’s Platform-Based Approach
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11
NI’s Market Opportunity Areas
Test and Measurement
Embedded Monitoring and Control
Design
Design
Validation and Verification
Prototype
Production
Deploy
Total Market: $21 Billion
Total Market: $36 Billion
Source: Frost & Sullivan, Prime Data, and NI Estimates
ni.com
12
Test and Measurement (T&M)
ni.com
The Traditional Approach to Automated Test
Programmable Switch
Generator Function
Communications Analyzer
Logic Analyzer
Pattern Generator
Spectrum Analyzer
Power Supply
LCR Meter
Source: Agilent, Keithley, and Nicolet
ni.com
Oscilloscope
14
DMM
NI’s Platform-Based Approach to Automated Test
Traditional Instruments
PXI Modular Instruments
VS.
ni.com
15
• 20X reduction in test time
• Better test coverage
• Microsecond simulation loop
rates
• Complex interaction of
gasoline and electric power
Subaru quickly brings its
first hybrid vehicle to
market using LabVIEW
and PXI for HIL testing
ni.com
16
• 200X faster test speeds
• Significantly improved test
coverage
• Lower test costs
• Better device characterization
Qualcomm creates a
customized, flexible
WLAN test system
using the NI PXI
platform
ni.com
17
Embedded Monitoring and Control
ni.com
NI’s Platform-Based Approach
to Embedded System Design
Traditional Design Approach
ni.com
vs.
19
Flexible Off-The-Shelf Solution
The Internet of Things
Unit Volume
Smart
Phones
Wearables
$2T
Semiconductor
Manufacturing
Smart Grid
Biotechnology
ni.com
20
$36B
Construction & Agricultural
Equipment
Power Plant
•
•
•
•
Airbus adds intelligence
to its tools and shopfloor
systems using LabVIEW
and NI System on Module
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21
10X faster development time
Simplified production process
Improved production efficiency
Increased quality assurance
• Scalable for the ever-changing
grid
• Easily accessible data
• Better grid measurements
• More cost effective
National Grid plans for
the future grid using
LabVIEW and
CompactRIO.
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22
5G and Semiconductor Test
ni.com
Our Platform-based Approach Opens New Opportunities
Software Defined Radio for Wireless Communication Prototyping and Test
“The complexity associated with the
development of 5G and its prototypes has made
NI’s software-defined radio platform an
indispensable tool for both academic researchers
and the telecom equipment vendors involved in
5G innovation. NI has now put itself in a unique
position in the 5G community.”
Junko Yoshida, EETimes
“5G is a disruptive change, and NI is exploiting its
unique architectural position to leverage the
change to gain market share…. NI’s strategy is
essentially a platform innovation play.”
Larry Desjardin, EDN
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24
Our Platform-based Approach Opens New Opportunities
Semiconductor Characterization and Production Test
“Traditional ATE systems require major costly
retooling efforts as generations of test systems
become obsolete or unable to meet new test
requirements, but the nature of the open PXI
architecture of the STS helps us retain our original
investment and build upon it rather than throw it
away.’’
Glen Peer, Director of Test
“We improved test speeds by
more than 200X compared to
traditional rack-and-stack
instruments while significantly
improving test coverage."
ni.com
25
Financial History
ni.com
Long-Term Track Record of Growth
Revenue (in millions)
$1,400
$1,200
$1,000
$800
$600
$400
$200
$0
'87 '88 '89 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15
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27
Simplifying the Revenue Growth Picture
ni.com
2015
2016
Q1 Actual
Q1 Actual
Growth in USD
2%
-1%
Growth in
Constant $
8%
5%
28
Long-term Track Record of Revenue Growth
$1,400
$1,200
$1,000
$800
$600
$400
$200
$0
'80
ni.com
'85
'90
'95
29
'00
'05
'10
15
Test & Measurement Industry Landscape
Source: Stifel Investment Banking
ni.com
(1) Ametek, Cobham, Fortive, Keysight, Spectris and Teledyne core growth excludes the impact of foreign currency and
acquisitions. NI core growth excludes the impact of largest customer and foreign currency. Anritsu, Rhode & Schwarz, Spirent,
Teradyne and Viavi core growth excludes the impact acquisitions.
30
Worldwide Order Mix
Orders Under $20,000
Orders Between $20,000 and $100,000
350
Orders in millions USD
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
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31
Orders Over $100,000
Largest Customer Orders and Recognized Revenue
30.0
In Millions USD
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
2013
Q4
2014
Orders
ni.com
Q3
Net Revenue Recog
32
Q1
Q2
Q3
2015
Q4
Q1
2016
Global Manufacturing PMI vs WW Revenue Growth
-30.0%
36.0
-35.0%
34.0
-40.0%
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33
Q1-16
38.0
Q3-15
-25.0%
Q1-15
40.0
Q3-14
-20.0%
Q1-14
42.0
Q3-13
-15.0%
Q1-13
44.0
Q3-12
-10.0%
Q1-12
46.0
Q3-11
-5.0%
Q1-11
48.0
Q3-10
0.0%
Q1-10
50.0
Q3-09
5.0%
Q1-09
52.0
Q3-08
10.0%
Q1-08
54.0
Q3-07
15.0%
Q1-07
56.0
Q3-06
20.0%
Q1-06
58.0
Q3-05
25.0%
Q1-05
60.0
Q3-04
30.0%
Q1-04
62.0
Q3-03
35.0%
Q1-03
64.0
Q3-02
40.0%
Q1-02
66.0
Q3-01
45.0%
Q1-01
68.0
Q3-00
50.0%
WW Revenue Growth
Worldwide Revenue Growth
70.0
Q1-00
Global Manufacturing PMI
Global Manufacturing PMI
Global Manufacturing PMI vs WW Core Revenue Growth*
Global Manufacturing PMI
Core YoY Revenue Growth (1)
70.0
50.0%
68.0
66.0
40.0%
64.0
62.0
30.0%
60.0
Global Manufacturing PMI
58.0
20.0%
56.0
54.0
10.0%
52.0
50.0
0.0%
48.0
46.0
-10.0%
44.0
42.0
-20.0%
40.0
38.0
-30.0%
36.0
Q1-16
Q3-15
Q1-15
Q3-14
Q1-14
Q3-13
Q1-13
Q3-12
Q1-12
Q3-11
Q1-11
Q3-10
Q1-10
Q3-09
Q1-09
Q3-08
Q1-08
Q3-07
Q1-07
Q3-06
Q1-06
Q3-05
Q1-05
Q3-04
Q1-04
Q3-03
Q1-03
Q3-02
Q1-02
Q3-01
-40.0%
Q1-01
34.0
*Core Revenue Growth excludes the effect of our current largest customer and the impact of foreign currency exchange, see
reconciliation of core revenue to GAAP revenue in appendix and at ni.com/investors
ni.com
34
Optimizing Our Operating Model
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Actual Non-GAAP Operating Income as % of Revenue
Actual Non-GAAP R&D as % of Revenue
A reconciliation of Non-GAAP operating income to GAAP operating income and Non-GAAP
R&D to GAAP R&D results is available at investor.ni.com
ni.com
35
Preserving our Non-GAAP* Gross Margins
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
*A reconciliation of GAAP gross margin to non-GAAP gross margin results is available at investor.ni.com
ni.com
36
Q1 2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994
1993
0%
Global PMI v Order Growth
80
200%
180%
75
160%
140%
120%
65
100%
80%
60
60%
40%
55
20%
50
0%
-20%
45
-40%
-60%
40
-80%
35
2007
Global PMI
ni.com
2008
2009
2010
2011
Growth in orders under $20K
2012
2013
Growth in orders $20-100K
37
2014
2015
Q1
Q4
Q3
Q2
Q1
Q4
Q3
Q2
Q1
Q4
Q3
Q2
Q1
Q4
Q3
Q2
Q1
Q4
Q3
Q2
Q1
Q4
Q3
Q2
Q1
Q4
Q3
Q2
Q1
Q4
Q3
Q2
Q1
Q4
Q3
Q2
Q1
-100%
2016
Growth in orders $100K+
Bookings Growth
Global Manufacturing PMI
70
Leveraging Our Investments
Worldwide Headcount
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
R&D Headcount
ni.com
2006
2007
2008
Field Sales Headcount
38
2009
2010
2011
All Other Headcount
2012
2013
2014
2015
Q1
2016
Deployment of Cash (in USD $millions)
YTD 2015
5 Years
10 Years
Dividend
$
98
$
360 $
519
Share Repurchase
$
75
$
75 $
352
Acquisitions
$
126
$
225 $
246
Total
$
299
$
660 $
1,117
5 Years: 2011 to 2015
10 Years: 2006 to 2015
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39
2016 Operating Leverage Scenarios
Revenue
Growth
Leverage*
Est Expense
Growth*
0% Growth
5% Growth
10% Growth
15% Growth
100%
60%
55%
50%
0%
2%–4%
5%–6%
7%–8%
* This represents NI Managements current planning as of April 28, 2016.
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40
2016 Strategic Goals
Drive Organic Revenue Growth
•
•
•
Leverage our strategic investments in R&D and field sales
Broaden and deepen our customer relationships
Gain market share
Deliver Strong Profitability
•
•
•
Preserve our strong gross margins
Drive efficiency of resources
Optimize operating expenses
ni.com
41
ni.com
Appendix
ni.com
Historical Regional Revenue
$400
Americas
EMEIA
APAC
$350
$300
$86
$250
$84 $87
$65
$70 $92 $67
$92 $88
$69
$76
$70
$79 $75
$84
$67
$61 $66
$56
$83
$89
$57
$200
$53
$54
$46
$102
$150
$69
$70
$87
$100 $83 $88 $90
$95 $86
$100 $97
$94 $108
$92
$100 $101
$96
$116
$95
$96 $98
$120
$92
$66
$100
$50
$111 $107 $113 $118 $117 $120 $113
$97 $94 $97 $104 $99
$90
$79
$128 $124
$115 $120
$130 $131 $118 $127 $126 $125
$111
$-
Q1 Q2
Q3
2010
ni.com
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
2011
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
2012
Q2
Q3
2013
44
Q4
Q1 Q2
Q3
2014
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
2015
Q4
Q1
2016
Reconciliation of YoY GAAP revenue growth to YoY GAAP revenue growth excluding the
effect of our current largest customer and the impact of foreign currency exchange
00 - Q1 00 - Q2 00 - Q3 00 - Q4 01 - Q1 01 - Q2 01 - Q3 01 - Q4 02 - Q1 02 - Q2 02 - Q3 02 - Q4 03 - Q1 03 - Q2 03 - Q3 03 - Q4
27.7%
24.8%
23.6%
22.3%
14.9%
-1.9% -16.8% -17.3% -12.3%
-4.3%
12.9%
12.8%
4.7%
7.1%
9.0%
14.4%
YoY GAAP revenue growth, as reportetd
Effect of excluding our current largest customer
YoY GAAP Revenue growth, exluding our largest customer
0.0%
27.7%
0.0%
24.8%
0.0%
23.6%
0.0%
22.3%
0.0%
14.9%
0.0%
-1.9%
0.0%
-16.8%
0.0%
-17.3%
0.0%
-12.3%
0.0%
-4.3%
0.0%
12.9%
0.0%
12.8%
0.0%
4.7%
0.0%
7.1%
0.0%
9.0%
0.0%
14.4%
Effect of excluding the impact of foreign currency exchange
Core YoY revenue gowth
1.6%
29.3%
3.0%
27.8%
-0.9%
22.7%
3.4%
25.7%
6.1%
21.0%
4.3%
2.4%
4.1%
-12.7%
1.7%
-15.7%
-1.3%
-13.6%
0.2%
-4.1%
-2.9%
10.0%
-1.0%
11.8%
-0.9%
3.8%
-3.7%
3.4%
-2.0%
7.0%
-3.3%
11.2%
04 - Q1 04 - Q2 04 - Q3 04 - Q4 05 - Q1 05 - Q2 05 - Q3 05 - Q4 06 - Q1 06 - Q2 06 - Q3 06 - Q4 07 - Q1 07 - Q2 07 - Q3 07 - Q4
25.7%
26.9%
19.8%
12.4%
4.1%
10.8%
13.0%
16.6%
19.3%
13.7%
15.9%
13.6%
10.9%
12.1%
12.4%
12.9%
YoY GAAP revenue growth, as reportetd
Effect of excluding our current largest customer
YoY GAAP Revenue growth, exluding our largest customer
0.0%
25.7%
0.0%
26.9%
0.0%
19.8%
0.0%
12.4%
0.0%
4.1%
0.0%
10.8%
0.0%
13.0%
0.0%
16.6%
0.0%
19.3%
0.0%
13.7%
0.0%
15.9%
0.0%
13.6%
0.0%
10.9%
0.0%
12.1%
0.0%
12.4%
0.0%
12.9%
Effect of excluding the impact of foreign currency exchange
Core YoY revenue gowth
-7.6%
18.1%
-6.8%
20.1%
-3.8%
16.0%
-4.1%
8.3%
-6.1%
-2.0%
-5.8%
5.0%
-2.6%
10.4%
-2.2%
14.4%
3.7%
23.0%
2.7%
16.4%
-1.6%
14.3%
-1.6%
12.0%
-2.7%
8.2%
-3.1%
9.0%
-2.3%
10.1%
-4.5%
8.4%
08 - Q1 08 - Q2 08 - Q3 08 - Q4 09 - Q1 09 - Q2 09 - Q3 09 - Q4 10 - Q1 10 - Q2 10 - Q3 10 - Q4 11 - Q1 11 - Q2 11 - Q3 11 - Q4
12.4%
17.3%
16.6%
-1.3% -18.2% -27.7% -23.3%
-0.3%
21.1%
39.1%
33.6%
24.0%
24.5%
19.6%
15.7%
11.2%
YoY GAAP revenue growth, as reportetd
Effect of excluding our current largest customer
YoY GAAP Revenue growth, exluding our largest customer
0.0%
12.4%
0.0%
17.3%
0.0%
16.6%
0.0%
-1.3%
0.0%
-18.2%
0.0%
-27.7%
0.0%
-23.3%
0.0%
-0.3%
0.0%
21.1%
0.0%
39.1%
0.0%
33.6%
0.0%
24.0%
-0.5%
24.0%
-1.0%
18.6%
-8.9%
6.8%
-2.0%
9.2%
Effect of excluding the impact of foreign currency exchange
Core YoY revenue gowth
-5.2%
7.2%
-7.9%
9.4%
-6.3%
10.3%
0.8%
-0.5%
3.9%
-14.3%
6.2%
-21.5%
4.6%
-18.6%
0.0%
-0.2%
-5.5%
15.6%
-6.9%
32.3%
2.0%
35.6%
-1.6%
22.4%
1.1%
25.0%
-3.9%
14.7%
-5.8%
1.0%
0.2%
9.4%
12 - Q1
12 - Q2 12 - Q3 12 - Q4 13 - Q1 13 - Q2 13- Q3
13- Q4
14-Q1
14-Q2
14-Q3
14-Q4
15 - Q1
15 - Q2 15 - Q3
15 - Q4
16-Q1
15.4%
13.7%
8.0%
9.7%
1.3%
-0.3%
0.2%
-0.6%
5.6%
8.5%
10.6%
1.7%
-3.5%
-4.4%
0.5%
-0.8%
YoY GAAP revenue growth, as reportetd
9.8%
Effect of non-GAAP revenue adjustments
Effect of excluding our current largest customer
YoY GAAP Revenue growth, exluding our largest customer
0.5%
-1.8%
8.5%
-0.2%
-7.3%
7.9%
-6.7%
-2.3%
4.7%
-0.7%
-3.7%
3.6%
-0.5%
0.7%
9.8%
0.2%
-0.7%
0.8%
0.0%
8.6%
8.3%
0.0%
4.1%
4.3%
0.0%
-1.2%
-1.8%
0.0%
1.6%
7.2%
0.0%
-4.4%
4.1%
0.0%
-1.1%
9.6%
0.0%
1.0%
2.7%
0.0%
3.5%
0.0%
0.0%
3.5%
-0.9%
0.0%
-0.7%
-0.2%
0.0%
-1.4%
-2.2%
Effect of excluding the impact of foreign currency exchange
Core YoY revenue gowth
-0.6%
8.0%
2.8%
10.7%
4.0%
8.7%
0.3%
3.9%
-0.4%
9.5%
0.9%
1.7%
0.2%
8.5%
0.7%
5.0%
1.2%
-0.6%
-0.3%
6.9%
-1.0%
3.1%
2.3%
11.9%
6.0%
8.7%
6.2%
6.3%
5.5%
4.6%
4.5%
4.3%
5.6%
3.4%
ni.com
National Instruments Corporation
Reconciliation of revenue growth percentage under U.S. GAAP to revenue growth percentage excluding
the effect of foreign currency changes and changes in revenue from our largest customer
(unaudited)
Three Months
Ended
March 31, 2016
Revenue growth percentage as reported in USD
Effect of excluding the decrease caused by foreign currency changes
5.60%
Effect of excluding the revenue increase from our largest customer
-1.40%
Pro-forma revenue growth percentage excluding the impact of currency and our
largest customer
ni.com
-0.80%
3.40%
ni.com