Presentation201203 NDK en

Results for the year ended
March 2012
1
Contents
Ⅰ. Results for the year ended March 2012
Ⅱ. Forecast for the year ended March 2013
2
Ⅰ. Results for the year ended March 2012
・Net sales declined by approx. 4.1billion yen for the year ended March
2012 due to stagnated demand affected by the supply chain disruption
which was caused by the earthquake and Thailand flood.
・However, NDK maintained profit level equivalent to last year mainly by
cost reduction of crystal oscillators for smartphones and mobile phone
base stations
(Million yen)
Annual
Annual
Annual
Result
Result
preannounced
forecast
(31 Mar 2011) (31 Mar 2012) (31 Mar 2012)
Net sales
Operating income
Income before tax
Net income
Total comprehensive income
54,934
2,094
1,695
1,738
852
50,804
2,081
1,615
1,759
1,863
55,000
2,500
2,200
2,000
-
3
Ⅰ . Results for the year ended March 2012
・For the year ended March 2012, sales and profit increased in 2Q mainly by
sales increase of crystal oscillators for mobile phone base stations. However,
sales and profit decreased in 3Q and 4Q mainly by the Thailand flood which
affected AVOA business.
Net sales
Operating income
Income before tax
Net Sales (Million yen)
14,000
2,500
12,000
2,000
10,000
8,000
1,500
6,000
1,000
4,000
Income (Million yen)
3,000
16,000
500
2,000
0
0
▲ 2,000
Net sales
Operating income
Income before tax
▲ 500
Result of March 2010
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
13,814
14,433
13,744
12,943
395
1,087
689
▲ 77
287
1,014
590
▲ 196
Result of March 2011
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
12,125
13,823
12,685
12,171
321
756
597
407
204
575
552
284
4
Ⅱ. Forecast for the year ended March 2013
NDK Sales/Income (’06/3~ ’13/3 forecast)
(Unit: billion yen)
(Net sales)
(Income before tax)
90 .0
2 0.0
7 3 .3
80 .0
70 .0
6 3 .6
9 .1
60 .0
50 .0
7 8 .1
Leman Shock
( Sep. 2008)
Net sales
5 9 .4
5 2 .6
6 .9
3 .6
5 4 .9
1 .7
N e t sale s
In c ome be fo re tax
30 .0
20 .0
5 0 .8
53.0
5 3 .0
1 0.0
2.2
2 .2
5 .0
1 .6
4 .3
40 .0
1 5.0
Income
before
tax
◆
1.2 (special factor excluded)
0 .0
- 5.0
10 .0
▲ 24.4
-▲20.0
10 .0
0 .0
re su lt
re su lt
re su lt
re su lt
re su lt
re su lt
re su lt
f ore c ast
’06/3
’07/3
’08/3
’09/3
’10/3
’11/3
'1 2 / 3
'1 3 / 3
5
Ⅱ. Forecast for the year ended March 2013
Production Volume & Unit Price of Crystal Products (QIAJ)
'06/3
Production Volume(※)
537
Unit price (Yen)
33.9
(※)Million units (Monthly average)
'07/3
628
32.9
'08/3
754
29.2
'09/3
670
25.7
'10/3
756
21.4
'11/3
901
20.3
'12/3
'11/3⇒'12/3
780
-13.4%
19.5
-3.9%
* SAW and OUT-OUT are not included
(Data source) QIAJ : Quartz Crystal Industry Association of Japan
Background of the ’11/3 ⇒’12/3 trend
①Tuning fork crystal units
and crystal units for
consumer use declined
(Production of Japanese
electronics companies
declined )
②Order of TCXOs and crystal
units for smartphones by
QIAJ companies increased
Decline of average unit price was small due to
product mix
However, price reduction continues
Ⅱ. Forecast for the year ended March 2013
Volume Zone
Increase in demand at AV / OA market
Expand sales with new competitive priced products
Production volume of AV/ OA set devices
(estimate)
Unit: Million
4,500
4,140
3,889
4,000
3,500
3,561
3,253
合計
3,000
Others
2,500
DSC
2,000
LCD TV
Develop new products
with new engineering
methods, responding to
price reduction trend
Small SMD type crystal units
NX2016HA
WLAN
1,500
USB
1,000
HDD
500
PC
0
2011
2012
2013
2014
Source : NDK estimate
size 2.0(L)×1.6(W)×0.7(H)mm
7
Ⅱ. Forecast for the year ended March 2013
Global market share of Japanese products
FlatPanelTV
70.0%
66.0%
DigitalCamera
63.7%
65.4%
MobilePhone
57.8%
49.3%
57.1%
40.0%
54.5%
29.1%
30.2%
Global market
share of Japanese
products are
declining
39.8%
34.6%
30.7%
30.7%
32.1%
33.3%
33.2%
29.9%
20.0%
10.0%
55.7%
46.6%
41.3%
30.0%
HDD
62.6%
60.0%
50.0%
NotePC
Source : JEITA
9.3%
9.2%
0.0%
2005
7.9%
7.2%
2006
6.4%
5.5%
2007
27.4%
25.5%
22.6%
4.4%
3.7%
3.1%
2.9%
2.9%
4.2%
2008
3.3%
2009
2.8%
2010
2.6%
2011
2.1%
2012
The importance
of the Chinese
market is growing
8
Ⅱ. Forecast for the year ended March 2013
Strengthen business in Chinese market
Production/
development base
Production base
Production area of AV/OA
devices in 2011
Central and
South
America,
3%
North
America,
1%
+
Growth of consumption
Europe, 3%
Development of
Chinese local
makers
Asia, 26%
China,
China
65%
Japan, 2%
Taiwan,
0%
Reference:Fuji chimera
Promote
localization
Approach to
Chinese local
makers
9
Ⅱ. Forecast for the year ended March 2013
Improvement in data
processing function and in
communication speed, etc
High Precision Devices Markets ①
Mobile phones have become increasingly sophisticated
Functions of smartphones have diversified
Smart-phone
production
携帯電話生産台数
Unit:
Million
単位:百万台
2,500
Smartphone
Featurephone
Smartphone割合
share
2,000
1,500
1,440
287
1,000
1,591
437
27%
48%
50%
42%
1,730
1,857
1,950
35%
610
40%
30%
786
943
20%
20%
500
0
10%
1,153
1,154
1,120
1,071
1,007
2010
CY2010
2011
CY2011
2012
CY2012
2013
CY2013
2014
CY2014
0%
Source :
Goldman Sachs,
EM data
10
Ⅱ. Forecast for the year ended March 2013
■NDK line up for smartphone diversification
One Chip
Chip Downsizing
Multiple functions
+
Simple design
Limited functions
+
Lower price
<required crystal devices>
High-tech
semiconductor
NX2520SG
+
Crystal unit
+
Temperature sensor
Lower cost
semiconductor
built-in temperature sensor
Size 2.5(L)×2.0(W)×0.9(H)mm
NDK has lined up the
best production for
both patterns
+
High accuracy
TCXO
NT2016SA
Size 2.0(L)×1.6(W)×0.8(H)mm
11
Ⅱ. Forecast for the year ended March 2013
Data traffic volume
increase 26 times !
from 2010 to 2015
High Precision Devices Markets②
Increase in data traffic volume
Introduction of LTE will grow
単位:千台
Unit:
thousand
2,000
<基地局 出荷台数推移>
Base station shipment trend
Souce:Dell'Oro
Source
: Dell’Oro
WiMAX
1,500
CDMA
LTE
1,000
W-CDMA
500
GSM/GPRS
/EDGE
→Trend toward
multi-base station
(LTE+W-CDMA)
0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
12
Ⅱ. Forecast for the year ended March 2013
Small size and
high stability
Small size and high stability
oscillators are required for LTE
small stations
Increase of
small stations
Small size OCXO(14x9mm)
Realized high stability (±20ppb) in wide
temperature range (-40 to +85deg.C) with
small sized OCXO
Ultra-high accuracy of 1/ 50 million
(world top level)
size
14.6(L)×9.7(W)×6.5(H)mm
One-third volume of
conventional size
(21x13x10㎜)
Utilized originally designed technology for
- crystal units
- IC for temperature control circuit
13
Ⅱ. Forecast for the year ended March 2013
Reduction of
phase noise
Even a small mismatch becomes a
major problem in large-scale
communication network
VCXO (7x5mm) with low phase noise
NV7050SG
size
7.0(L)×5.0(W)×1.7(H)mm
■Low phase noise facilitates
smooth transfer data even
under weak radio wave
Now loading
★Developed in-house IC to realize
circuit that best suits the character of
crystal units
14
Ⅱ. Forecast for the year ended March 2013
High Frequency
100Gbps can transmit 2
hours full high definition
video (5 DVDs) in 2 seconds !
Unit: thousand
Increase in data traffic volume
require higher speed and larger
capacity of optical communication
devices
Market trend of optical
communication devices
VCXO with high frequency
(1.7/1.9GHz)
Crystal units are used to realize
- High stability
- Low jitter and low phase noise
Improves connection speed
and realize smooth
communication
size 13.8×8.9×4.5mm
Source : Dell’Oro
15
Ⅱ. Forecast for the year ended March 2013
Expand sales to top 4 companies
Market share in mobile phone
base stations in 2010
ALCATELALCATELLUCENT
LUCENT
15%
15%
HUAWEI
HUAWEI
20%
20%
ERICSSON
ERICSSON
35%
35%
Top 4 companies
have approx.
90% market share
NOKIA
NOKIA
SIEMENS
SIEMENS
21%
21%
Source : Dell’Oro
16
Ⅱ. Forecast for the year ended March 2013
Received “Supplier of the
Year 2011” prize
from Ericsson
Received “The Excellent
Core Partner” prize
from Huawei
NDK products are delivered to
the boards of mobile phone
base stations
Won the prize for the 3rd
consecutive year from 2009
(This award was given to 2 suppliers
among approx. 400 companies. )
(This award was given to the top 10
suppliers among approx. 800
companies)
17
Ⅱ. Forecast for the year ended March 2013
High Precision Devices Markets③
■Telematic services development will enhance demand
Telematic center
GPS/
Mobile phones
-Positioning data
-Vehicle behavior
info, etc.
-Traffic info
- Stolen vehicle
tracking
- Restaurant guide,
etc.
NT2520SB
GPS will play
greater roles
in automobile
Increase in
demand of TCXO
size
2.5(L)×2.0(W)×0.8(H)mm
18
Ⅱ. Forecast for the year ended March 2013
(Million yen)
Operating cash ①
¥5 billion capital
investment expected
for the year ended
March 2013
Investing cash ②
Free cash flow ①-②
Financing cash
10,000
8,000
5,042
6,000
4,000
2,538
2,000
42
▲ 1,543
0
▲ 830
▲ 2,000
Promote production by
utilizing in-house machines
▲ 2,920
▲ 4,000
▲ 4,081
▲ 6,000
▲ 8,000
▲ 10,000
▲ 5,000
Depreciation and amortisation ¥3,040 M Depreciation and amortisation ¥3,760 M
Cash at year end
¥8,796 M Cash at year end
¥8,008 M
’12/3
actual
R&D expenses
R&D expenses ratio against sales
(Million yen)
¥2.5 billion R&D
expenses expected
for the year ended
March 2013
3,000
2,500
’13/3
forecast
2,420
2,686
6%
2,500
5%
5.3%
2,000
4.7%
4.4%
4%
1,500
3%
1,000
2%
500
1%
0
0%
’11/3
actual
’12/3
actual
’13/3
forecast
19
Ⅱ. Forecast for the year ended March 2013
(Million Yen)
Net sales
Operating income
Income before tax
Net income
Ratio of income before tax
'12/3
actual
50,804
2,081
1,615
1,759
3.2%
'13/3
forecast
53,000
2,500
2,200
2,000
4.2%
Exchange rate for the year ended Mar. 2013 (US$):¥75
(Previous year average exchange rate : ¥79.30)
Influence on Net Sales
¥1 fluctuation⇒ approx.¥250mil
Influence on Operating Profit
¥1 fluctuation⇒ approx.¥80mil
20
Finally
2014
2013
Make progress
toward
sustainable
growth
Establish solid
financial base
Make a leap toward growth
2012
Solidify the base for growth
21
Thank you for your attention.
We are grateful for your continuous support.
【Note】
Statements made in this presentation with respect to our current plans, estimates, strategies and
beliefs and other statements that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements about our
future performance. These statements are based on management’s assumptions and beliefs in light of
information currently available to it. We caution that a number of important risks and uncertainties
could cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed in the forward-looking statements,
and therefore you should not place undue reliance on them. You also should not rely on the belief that
it is our obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new
information, future events or otherwise. Risks and uncertainties that might affect us include, but are
not limited to; fluctuation of currency exchange rates, overall supply and customer demand in the
industry, product development and production capacities, performance of affiliated companies, and
other risks and uncertainties.
22