2015 4Q

GE 2015 fourth quarter
performance
Financial results & Company highlights
January 22, 2016
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forward-looking projected financial information that is based on current estimates and forecasts. Actual results could differ materially.
NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES:
In this document, we sometimes use information derived from consolidated financial data but not presented in our financial statements prepared in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting
principles (GAAP). Certain of these data are considered “non-GAAP financial measures” under the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission rules. These non-GAAP financial measures supplement our GAAP
disclosures and should not be considered an alternative to the GAAP measure. The reasons we use these non-GAAP financial measures and the reconciliations to their most directly comparable GAAP financial
measures are posted to the investor relations section of our website at www.ge.com. We use non-GAAP financial measures including the following.
• Operating earnings and EPS, which is earnings from continuing operations excluding non-service-related pension costs of our principal pension plans.
• GE Industrial operating & Verticals earnings and EPS, which is operating earnings of our industrial businesses and the GE Capital businesses that we expect to retain.
• GE Industrial & Verticals revenues, which is revenue of our industrial businesses and the GE Capital businesses that we expect to retain.
• Industrial segment organic revenue, which is the sum of revenue from all of our industrial segments less the effects of acquisitions/dispositions and currency exchange.
• Industrial segment organic operating profit, which is the sum of segment profit from all of our industrial segments less the effects of acquisitions/dispositions and currency exchange.
• Industrial cash flows from operating activities (Industrial CFOA), which is GE’s cash flow from operating activities excluding dividends received from GE Capital.
• Capital ending net investment (ENI), excluding liquidity, which is a measure we use to measure the size of our Capital segment.
• GE Capital Tier 1 Common ratio estimate is a ratio of equity to total risk-weighted assets .
General Electric Capital Corporation (GECC) has been merged into GE and our financial services business is now operated by GE Capital Global Holdings LLC (GECGH). In this document, we refer to GECC and
GECGH as “GE Capital”. We refer to the industrial businesses of the Company including GE Capital on an equity basis as “GE”. “GE (ex-GE Capital)” and /or “Industrial” refer to GE excluding GE Capital. Our
financial services segment previously referred to as GE Capital is now referred to as Capital.
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Imagination at work.
4Q’15 overview
Environment
 Slow growth and volatile environment
 FX EPS headwind of $(.05) in 2015
 Capital exits ahead of plan … $157B
signed, $104B closed in 2015
GE executing well:
 Industrial + Verticals-a) operating EPS
$.52, +27% … Industrial +27%
 Industrial segment OP margins-b) +50
bps. with gross margins-b) +110 bps.
 Total Industrial op profit margins ex.
Alstom-c) 18.3%, +80 bps.
 Total year CFOA $16.4B, +8%
Industrial
Reported Organic
Orders
3%
1%
Segment revenue
(1)%
(1)%
Segment op profit
(8)%
(1)%
Total Industrial profit-c) (6)%
3%
Execution versus goals
2015 Goals
Grow Industrial segments
Organic growth (2-5%)
Margin expansion
Verticals-a) EPS ~$.15
Capital cash to parent
TY ’15
+7%
1% organic
3%
80 bps.
$.17
$4.3B dividend
Disciplined/balanced capital allocation
CFOA $14-16B-d)
$16.5B
FCF + disp. $12-15B
$15.2B
Cash to investors $10-30B-e)
$33B
Portfolio actions
(a- Verticals include businesses expected to be retained including allocated corporate costs
(b- Excluding Alstom
(c- Excluding gains and restructuring
(d- CFOA excludes deal taxes related to the Signaling disposition
(e- Includes Synchrony exchange
$157B Capital deals signed
Synchrony split-off complete
Alstom closed; EPS impact $0
Appliances signed
2
4Q’15 orders $32.5B, 3% … 1% organic
($ in billions)
Equipment
$
V%
Power
$5.0
Ren. Energy
2.3
Oil & Gas
1.2
Energy Mgmt.
2.0
Aviation
2.8
Healthcare
3.2
Transportation
2.6
Total
$18.7
Organic
58%
(1 )
(52)
20
(36)
(5)
F
2%
(1)%
Services
$
V%
$4.6
0.2
2.1
0.6
4.0
2.0
0.6
$13.8
25%
40
(17 )
2
9
(2)
(12 )
5%
3%
Orders price ex. Alstom +0.9%
+3.8%
+1.9%
+1.2%
(1.6)% (0.4)%
Power
Ren.
O&G
EM
(1.6)%
-%
Aviation Healthcare Trans.
Backlog ($B)
$249
$315
$266
$268
$272
$270
71
70
72
70
Equip.
64
Services
185
195
198
200
199
'13
'14
1Q'15
2Q'15
3Q'15
89
Alstom
$17B
226
Alstom
$12B
4Q'15
Highlights
 Equipment orders +2%, (1)% organically … strength in
Gas Power Systems and Transportation with India rail
order offsetting O&G market & Aviation comps
 Service orders +5%, +3% organically … Aviation spares
rate +10%, Power Services +13% ex. Alstom
 Record backlog $315B … core +$17B VPQ, Alstom $29B
 Alstom orders $2.6B: Power $1B, Renewable Energy
$0.5B, Grid $1.1B
 Regional dynamics excluding Alstom … growth
markets +7%, Europe (9)%, U.S. (16)%
 Power OPI +3.8% driven by HA gas turbine
3
Industrial segment execution
Revenue growth
+2 pts. (6) pts.
TY organic
+3%
(1)%
(1)%
FX
Disp.
Alstom
2015 Backlog
4%
7%
(5)%
4%
3%
2%
7%
6%
3%
5%
20%
V% -a)
5%
27%
(9)%
-%
13%
4%
6%
7%
2016E
+
+/++
(10)-(15)%
+
+
+
−
+
2-4%
+
++
27.4%
(ex. Alstom)
19.3%
+80 bps.
4Q’15
Total w/
Alstom 27.7%
17.0%
+50 bps.
+110 bps.
4Q
organic
Organic revenue dynamics
Power
Renewables
Oil & Gas
Energy Mgmt.
Aviation
Healthcare
Transportation
A&L
Ind. segments
- Services
- Digital
(ex. Alstom)
28.8%
+4 pts.
4Q
reported
Segment
Segment
gross margins OP margins
Industrial -b)
OP margins
(ex. Alstom)
18.3%
15.3%
+80 bps.
+80 bps.
+110 bps.
TY’15
4Q’15
TY’15
4Q’15
27.1%
17.6%
16.5%
16.6% 14.8%
Segment drivers
Mix
Value gap (price/inflation)
Cost productivity
Gross Margins-c)
Simplification (SG&A)
Base inflation/other
Op Profit Margins -c)
Alstom
Op Profit Margins
4Q
0.4 pts
0.6
0.1
+1.1 pts.
(0.6)
+0.5 pts.
(1.7)
(1.2) pts.
TY’15
TY
0.1 pts
0.4
0.3
0.8 pts.
0.3
(0.3)
0.8 pts.
(0.5)
0.3 pts.
TY services margins +40 bps, equipment +20 bps.-c)
(a- Power & Renewables adjusted for Alstom; Energy Mgmt. adjusted for Alstom (including Digital Energy) and dispositions
(b - Industrial includes Corporate, excluding gains and restructuring
(c- Excluding Alstom
4
Generating cash
($ in billions)
4Q YTD CFOA
$15.2
Capital
dividend
3.0
Industrial
12.2
V%
$16.4
8%
4.3
43%
12.1
(1)%
Core-a)
+3%
FCF
Ind’l. FCF
2014
$11.8
$8.8
2015
$13.5
$9.2
14%
4%
 TY Industrial cash flow ex. Alstom & deal taxes
$12.6B, +3%
 TY core Industrial FCF conversion 85%-a)
 4Q Capital dividend $3.9B … TY $4.3B
GE cash balance walk
Total
Beginning balance 1/1/15
$15.9
CFOA
16.4
Dividends
(9.3)
Net P&E
(2.8)
Acquisitions
(10.4)
Dispositions
1.7
Buyback
(3.3)
Debt issuance/repayment
1.4
Other
0.8
December 2015
$10.4
$33B cash returned to investors including $20B Synchrony exchange
5
(a- Core industrial excludes Alstom and Signaling deal taxes
4Q’15 consolidated results
($ in billions – except EPS)
Revenues
– Industrial
– Verticals-a)
– Other Capital-b)
4Q’15
$33.9
31.3
2.5
0.1
Industrial + Verticals EPS
Operating EPS
Continuing EPS
Net EPS
CFOA YTD
- Industrial CFOA
($ in millions)
V%
1%
3
(14)
F
.52
.31
.26
.64
27
(21)
(26)
25
16.4
12.1
8
(1)
Revenues
$
V%
Power
$7,085
3%
Op profit
$
V%
$1,628
(10)%
(5)%
(54)%
Renewable Energy
1,938
(16)
56
(79)
Oil & Gas
4,355
(16)
715
(19)
Energy Mgmt.
2,375
20
33
(71)
Aviation
6,734
5
1,571
12
Healthcare
4,973
(3)
938
(8)
Transportation
1,612
2
339
8
Appliances & Lighting
2,282
(1)
241
28
4Q’15 4Q’14
Industrial Segments
31,352 (1)/(1)
Consolidated tax rate
(39)%
5%
Corporate ex. gains/restructuring (1,043)
18
– GE (ex. GE Capital)
5
13
GE TY
Industrial ex. gain/restructuring $30,309
(1)%
– GE Capital
39
F
14%
Organic
Industrial + Verticals EPS
Industrial operating
Capital Verticals-a)
4Q’15
$.47
.04
$.52
V%
27%
0%
27%
(a- Verticals include businesses expected to be retained including allocated corporate costs
(b- Other Capital includes HQ run-off & exit-related items
Note: Individual amounts are rounded. As a result, the sum of the parts presented may not add to the total.
Organic
5,522 (8)/(1)
(417)
ex.
Alstom
4%
(4)%
25
Organic
$5,105 (6)/3%
Alstom
EPS $0
6
Alstom segment impact
($ in millions)
Reported
op profit
Alstom
impact
$1,628
$(80)
$1,708
(5)%
(6)%
Renewable Energy
56
(69)
125
(54)%
(49)%
Energy Management
33
(85)-a)
118
4%
17%
Industrial Segments
$5,522
$5,756
(4)%
(1)%
Power
Corporate restructuring & other items
Industrial
$(234)
Op profit
ex. Alstom
V% ex.
Alstom
Organic
V%
(160)
$(394)
Alstom financial summary:
• Orders $2,557 … Power $1,030, Renewable Energy $469, Grid $1,058
• Revenue $1,956 … Power $917, Renewable Energy $87, Grid $952
• EPS impact $0 … $(234) op profit impact on the segments + $(160) at Corporate offset by
integration tax benefits
Alstom on track for ~$.05 EPS in 2016
7
(a- Represents the impact of the formation of the Grid joint venture
Earnings dynamics
(after tax, $ in millions – except EPS)
Earnings walk
Industrial operating
Verticals-a)
Industrial + Verticals earnings
Other Capital-b)
Operating earnings
Non-operating pension
Continuing earnings
Discontinued operations
Net earnings
4Q’15
net income
4Q’15 EPS
EPS V%
$4,629
$0.47
27%
438
0.04
0%
$5,067
$0.52
27%
(2,053)
(0.21)
U
$3,014
$0.31
(21)%
(447)
(0.05)
(67)%
$2,567
$0.26
(26)%
3,716
0.38
F
$6,283
$0.64
25%
Industrial + Verticals EPS $0.52, +27% … strong Industrial growth, +27%
(a- Verticals include businesses expected to be retained including allocated corporate costs
(b- Other Capital includes HQ run-off & exit-related items
Note: Individual amounts are rounded. As a result, the sum of the parts presented may not add to the total.
8
4Q’15 Industrial other items
EPS
Restructuring & other
items
Gains
$(.04)
$.08
Summary
 $(567)MM pre-tax, $(397)MM after-tax at Corporate,
including Alstom deal costs & purchase accounting
items of $(160)MM pre-tax
 $998MM pre-tax, $839MM after-tax at Corporate
related to the Signaling, Embedded Controls, and
Clarient dispositions and Appliances break-up fee
3Q YTD
4Q
2015
2016E
Restructuring & other items
$(.08)
$(.04)
$(.12)
~$(.25)
Gains & settlements
$.03
$.08
$.11
~$.25
$(.05)
$.04
$(.01)
~$-
Total
2016 focus on Alstom, O&G, and product/service costs … ~60% of spend in 1H
9
Industrial segments
($ in millions)
Power
4Q’15
$
Renewable Energy
V%
V%
4Q’15
Revenues
ex. Alstom
Revenues
$7,085
3%
(10)%
Segment profit
$1,628
(10)%
(5)%
Op profit %
23.0%
(3.3) pts.
1.4 pts.
4Q dynamics
Segment profit
Op profit %
$
V%
$1,938
(16)%
(20)%
$56
(79)%
(54)%
2.9%
V%
ex. Alstom
(8.7) pts. (4.8) pts.
4Q dynamics
• $9.6B orders, +40% ... core equipment +46%
driven by GPS +60% with 55 GTs including 12
HA units; core services +8%
• $2.5B orders, +1% ... core (18)% and (10)% ex.
FX on lower wind orders due to higher 4Q’14
U.S. PTC volume
• Revenue … core equipment (25)% driven by
GPS (22)% on 16 less GT shipments, DP (36)%;
services +1% driven by Power Services +8%
• Revenue … core (20)% driven by foreign
exchange and lower U.S. wind turbine
shipments
• Op profit margins … core +1.4 pts. driven by
positive value gap and mix
• Op profit margins … core (4.8) pts. driven by
new product launch costs
Strong execution in Power; Renewables impacted by new product transition
10
Industrial segments
($ in millions)
Aviation
4Q’15
Oil & Gas
$
V%
4Q’15
Revenues
$6,734
5%
Revenues
Segment profit
$1,571
12%
Segment profit
1.6 pts.
Op profit %
Op profit %
23.3%
4Q dynamics
• $6.8B orders, (16)% … equipment (36)% on
fewer commercial engines; services +9% with
spares +10% … $151B backlog, +13% VPY
Strong execution
V%
$4,355
(16)%
$715
(19)%
16.4%
V%
Organic
(6)%
TY
(7)% +1%
(0.7) pts. (0.1) pts.
2016 dynamics
• Revenue likely at low
end of range
(10)-(15)%
(10)-(15)%
• Revenue … equipment (6)% on lower volume
with Commercial (5)% and Military (1)%;
services +18%
• Segment profit +12% on strong volume and
positive value gap … margins +160 bps.
$
Organic
revenue
Organic
op profit
• 2016 base plan includes
~$400MM of cost out
• Targeting additional
$400MM of cost out to
offset volume & price
pressure
More cost out in tough environment
11
Industrial segments
($ in millions)
Healthcare
4Q’15
Transportation
4Q’15
$
V%
$4,973
(3)%
Revenues
Segment profit
$938
(8)%
Op profit %
18.9% (1.0) pts.
Revenues
4Q dynamics
$
V%
V%
Organic
$1,612
2%
11%
Segment profit
$339
8%
18%
Op profit %
21.0%
1.0 pts.
1.2 pts.
4Q dynamics
• $5.2B orders, (4)%, +1% organically … emerging
markets (8)%, U.S. (1)%, Europe (8)%, +4% ex.
FX, China (6)% and (3)% ex. FX
• $3.2B orders, +66% driven by equipment
+113% with $2.2B Indian Railways order;
Mining (40)%
• Revenue (3)%, +3% ex. FX with HCS +3% ex. FX
& Life Sciences +6% ex. FX … emerging markets
+1% and developed +3% ex. FX
• Revenue +2% with equipment +17%, Mining
(6)%; services (16)% driven by Signaling
• Segment profit (4)% organic driven by higher
investment in new platforms
• Margins +8% driven by higher locomotive
volume, strong value gap and cost out
 Healthcare … positioning portfolio for stronger 2016
 Transportation … strong Tier 4 execution
12
Industrial segments
($ in millions)
Energy Management
4Q’15
$
Revenues
Segment profit
Op profit %
V%
Appliances & Lighting
V%
Organic
$2,375
20%
-%
$33
(71)%
17%
(4.3) pts.
0.5 pts.
1.4%
4Q dynamics
• $2.6B orders, +15% … Alstom $1.1B; Power
Conversion (17)%, (11)% organic and Industrial
Solutions (17)%, (11)% organic
4Q’15
$
V%
$2,282
(1)%
Segment profit
$241
28%
Op profit %
10.6%
2.5 pts.
Revenues
4Q dynamics
• Appliances revenue flat … industry strength and
favorable product mix offset by price
• Revenue +20%, flat organically with Power
Conversion +9%, Industrial Solutions (4)%
• Lighting revenue (5)%, flat organically with LED
+28% and traditional (17)% … LED 37% of total
revenues
• Segment profit +4% excluding the impact of
Alstom and +17% organically
• Segment profit +28% driven by strong deflation
& cost productivity; margins +2.5 pts
 Energy Management … Alstom integration underway
 Appliances deal signed … targeting mid-year close
13
GE Capital
($ in millions)
4Q’15 performance
GE Capital update
Earnings
Verticals-a)
$438
Run-off/HQ
(2,053)
Continuing Operations
(1,615)
Earnings from disc. ops.
3,722
Total GE Capital
$2,107
• $82B of ENI ex. liq. … $167 incl. disc. ops.
• $91B of liquidity-b) … CP down to $5B
• Basel 3 T1C-c) at 14.5%, up 80 bps. VPQ after
$3.9B dividend in the quarter … $4.3 in ’15
 Verticals … delivered $1.7B for 2015 …
supporting GE Store with pull-through financing
 Run-off/HQ includes excess interest expense,
restructuring, HQ operations and $0.8B
impairment of a non-strategic power plant
 Synchrony split complete … $3.4B GoS & 671MM
GE shares retired; Consumer now in disc. ops.
 $157B signings & $104B closing in ’15 … will be
largely done by end of ’16, a year ahead of plan
 Returned $25B of capital in 2015, targeting
~$18B in 2016 and ~$13B in 2017/2018-d)
 Plan to apply for SIFI de-designation in 1Q
 Total assets down $186B … $317B at 4Q’15
Capital transformation well underway … carrying strong momentum into 2016
(a- Verticals include businesses expected to be retained including allocated corporate costs
(b- Liquidity includes cash & equivalents (including discontinued operations and held for sale balances) and high quality interest bearing deposits
(c- Basel 3 Tier 1 Common ratio estimated based on U.S. standardized transitional basis
(d- Subject to regulatory approval
Note: Individual amounts are rounded. As a result, the sum of the parts presented may not add to the total.
14
2016 operating framework
1
Operating EPS-a)
$1.45-1.55
2
Free cash flow
+ dispositions
$28-31B
$29-32B
3
Cash returned
to investors
~$26B
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Organic growth of 2-4%
Core margin expansion
Corporate @ $2.0-2.2B
Alstom ~$.05; Appliances gain ~$.20-c)
Restructuring = gains
FX impact ~$(.02) at today’s rates
High-teens Industrial tax rate
• CFOA of $30-32B-b); ~$18B Capital
dividend-c)
$3-4B-b)
• Dispositions of $2-3B-b)
• Net P&E of ~$4B
• Dividend of ~$8B
• Buyback of ~$18B
(a- Industrial + Verticals
(b- Deal taxes are excluded from CFOA and included in dispositions
(c- Subject to regulatory approval
15